Our weekly newsletter is up at http://bit.ly/cARoV4 We cover the recent new max drawdown in the Strategic ES/SP trading system, analyzing whether the systems remains within historical risk parameters. (it is..) Of interest in the piece is a chart posted on Barry Ritholtz’s blog showing the American Association of Individual Investors survey, which tracks whether […]
We took the liberty of extending the Thanksgiving holiday through yesterday for our research team, resulting in no Monday newsletter this week. But we actually did do the week in review write up as if there were a newsletter, and are happy to share it with you here: Summary: With only two day’s remaining in […]
In lieu of our newsletter which did not run yesterday due to President’s day we are posting our normal week in review on the blog. Also – we are thinking of making this a permanent feature of the blog, so please feel free to give us your feedback and let us know what you think. […]
Nobody likes to lose… least of all us. Don’t get us wrong- we know that drawdowns are a part of the game when investing in a trading system, but that doesn’t mean we have to be content to stare those losses in the eye. As such, we’re constantly looking for ways to minimize losses and […]
For the umpteenth time – you wouldn’t buy a car that only goes forwards (you probably want reverse).
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
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Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.