Where are the Lumber Trend Followers?
But one well worn internet trope we haven’t seen tied to the rise in lumber prices is the inevitable blaming of CTAs, aka managed futures, aka trend followers for the move. That game usually starts out with JP Morgan’s Marko Kolanovic or one of the Nomura quants putting out some statistics on where he […]
Asset Class Scoreboard: March 2021
Commodities have been the biggest topic so far this year, but we saw a small dip in performance in March due to the (unforeseen) bullish report released by USDA. Commodities are expected to pick back up in the following months, and overall are still performing high with positive double-digit returns for the year. In other […]
How 54 Markets Have Performed Since the March 2020 Covid Lows
One year ago – where were you? Doing cool zoom backgrounds. Stacking a pile of books to act as your at home standing desk. Home schooling!! Trying to understand what a VIX of 80 means? We were all trying to get a handle on just what the new normal would be, and if our economies […]
Crazy Commodity Cycles (and cross-continent motorcycles) with Jim Rogers on The Derivative
The king of Commodities has entered The Derivative ring. You know his name, you’ve read his books, you’ve probably utilized his index, and now you’re listening to him in this most recent podcast episode. Jim Rogers is an American investor and financial commentator, and was there at the start of the Quantum Fund and Soros […]
Asset Class Scoreboard: February 2021
Last year it feels like all we talked about was the rough performance of commodities and now we’re reading headline after headline of a 2021 commodity supercycle “driven by stimulus spending and a weaker US dollar” (SP Global). Up 15% for the year already, I think we’ll be talking about commodity performance for a good […]
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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