Trend Following’s Bond Problem
Our own Jeff Malec went solo on the Derivative last week, dishing on all sorts of topics from ski races to conferences. But one topic caught our eye in particular, talking bonds. And particularly bonds in times of war. Last month, when the U.S. began military strikes on Iran, markets delivered a reminder that the […]
Markets Cool in November: Real Estate Takes the Lead
November 2025 saw modest movements across most asset classes, with U.S. Real Estate staging a notable comeback, gaining +2.37% after October’s decline. Despite the monthly gain, U.S. Real Estate remains up 5.75% for the year. Most asset classes posted small positive returns for the month. Bonds gained +0.60%, pushing their year-to-date return to 7.43%. Commodities […]
When Football Futures Meet Financial Futures: FanDuel’s Perfect Timing
Talk about timing! Today, FanDuel is celebrating its cheeky “Futures Day” campaign—inviting fans to bet on the upcoming football season, while also making waves for a much bigger reason: its brand-new joint venture with CME Group to launch a non-clearing Futures Commission Merchant (FCM). You couldn’t script that kind of overlap if you tried. On […]
Asset Class Scoreboard: October 2024
In October, most asset classes experienced setbacks amid increased market volatility: Global equities faced significant headwinds, with the ACWX world stock index falling -4.65% on concerns over slowing economic growth and geopolitical tensions. U.S. stocks showed more resilience but still declined, with the S&P 500 slipping -0.89%. Real estate also encountered challenges, with the IYR […]
Asset Class Scoreboard: Sept 2024
In September, most asset classes saw a slight upward trajectory, except for commodities, which have continued to slip since July: U.S. real estate maintained its momentum, with the IYR index gaining +3.07%, as favorable mortgage rates and sustained demand persisted. Global equities extended their advance, with the ACWX world stock index rising +2.64% and the […]
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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