Taking the Loss- Trend-follower Style
One of our favorite bloggers, Barry Ritholtz, had a post up yesterday that struck a cord for us entitled, “Take the Loss.” While much of his commentary there related to the macroeconomic climate and the politics therein, the message of “taking the loss” crossed over into the realm of managed futures quite nicely. The dominant […]
The “Winner” is… Soybeans?
We’ve been watching stock indices, energies, and metals for a clue as to whether the lows made on Friday and Monday will hold, but a different market was the first to break through those levels and put in fresh 2011 lows – Soybeans (and Soybean Meal). That is quite a down trend Soybeans have been […]
Guest Post: An Outside Perspective on Gold
We’ve posted quite a bit recently on Gold’s major fluctuations between all-time highs and rapid sell-offs. With Gold continuing the roller coaster (down another $40 at the time of this post being written), we decided it might be time to bring in a gold specialist to comment. Enter Cervino Capital Management. Their Gold Covered-Call program […]
Unsurprising 10 Sigma Surprises
Great data graphic out from Reuters yesterday showing the historical 4 statistical moments (mean, standard deviation, skew, and kurtosis) of the major commodity futures markets. Anyone looking at dabbling in any of these markets would be well served to study this data for a bit. The first realization should be that not a single one of […]
A Gold Exchange Closed!??!
If you’re looking for another signal that we’re facing dire economic straits, just check out the news today. A GOLD EXCHANGE WENT OUT OF BUSINESS. That’s crazy, right? Between that, and learning that Goldman Sachs rules the world, it’s obvious that things are going downhill in a hurry. Totally insane. And totally not what it […]
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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