Buy the Rumor, Buy the Fact?
The decision to move ahead with QE3 was no surprise to many, yet stocks still bounced higher on the news. What ever happened to the old market cliché, buy the rumor, and sell the fact? It looks like the new paradigm is buy the rumor, and buy the fact.
When Gas Goes Wild
Oil futures may be flat today, but if you find yourself at the wrong gas station in the northeast, you might be paying more than double the national average. What’s going on? Just another reminder that there’s a lot more to gas prices than just the cost of oil.
PFG Best Update: Good Job NFA!
Here’s something you don’t hear around our offices too frequently (or possibly ever before)… Good Job NFA ! While the NFA’s handling of the PFG fiasco belongs in textbooks on how not to do public relations in times of crisis, it looks like someone over there finally woke up and is trying to do the right thing – returning PFG customer money that was used to pay PFG’s regulatory fines.
Shakespearean Fiscal Drama: Part Deux
On the 11th anniversary of the terrorist attacks that rocked the nation, the country is in a state of reflection. But in an era of economic fragility, the new enemy, deserved or not, has become uncertainty. The fiscal cliff has been shoved to the peripheral as politics take center stage. No one ever expected the country’s fiscal issues to be addressed before November, but the debt rating agencies don’t seem to be on board with the delay strategy.
PFGBest Update: CFTC asks Trustee to Verify
Last week, the PFG trustee announced plans to make an initial distribution of customer funds – at last. Just a few days later, however, the regulators come in saying that motion shouldn’t be granted. This is obviously a complicated process, but we think there are far better options than further delays for customers waiting to get their money back.
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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