The Powerball at the End of the Long Gamma Rainbow
Tomorrow night we may see the largest Powerball jackpot in history, and the 2nd largest US lottery payout ever. But we can say one thing for certain: we won’t win it, because we aren’t playing. So why don’t we like the lottery? In short: math.
Weekend Reads
Another week ending higher, despite the best efforts of Congress and the 24-hour news channels to create a cloud of anxiety around the fiscal cliff negotiations. And despite a bit of a head-fake at the beginning of this week, the indices ended up more or less completing the second leg of November’s wicked V-shaped market move. Not a lot of other excitement, besides the couple of lucky lottery winners out there who claimed this week’s record Powerball prize. We have a few ideas about what they could do with that money (a subject we may visit in the future), but for now, here’s what we’re reading headed into the weekend:
Owning a Slice of PFGBest
The auction to unwind many of PFG’s assets got started today, and we couldn’t help but tune in to the live webcast to watch. There were plenty of the expected items – computers, cubicles, filing cabinets, and other standard office goods. But there were some that were a little… less usual.
Death by Chocolate
It’s that time of year again – which means the lights are up, the stores are packed, and people are getting into the spirit of giving. It also means that our office is starting to receive a never ending stream of chocolate covered this and that, blocks of cheese, smoked salmon, baklava, nuts of every shape and size… and did we mention chocolate? If you are one of those kind souls looking to send a holiday gift to Attain, here’s our official plea to do something more constructive than give us reason to clog our arteries.
Weekend Reads
As the days until “fiscal apocalypse” tick away, the hand-wringing and bickering is sure to continue. In the meantime, we’re content to let the politicians and talking heads fill the air – after all, managed futures doesn’t particularly care what direction the trend is, so long as there’s a trend. In the meantime, here’s what we’re looking at headed into the weekend.

Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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