Natural Gas Linkfest
While everyone else will likely be talking about the Dow’s back to back days losing about 500 points – we can help but give a little love to Natural Gas with a special Nat Gas edition of our weekend reads:
Chart of the Week: All Time Highs for Cattle Futures
We fancy ourselves as steak experts here in Chicago, but with both Feeder and Live Cattle futures at all time highs this week should we be concerned that the price of their favorite meat is about to go through the roof? No anytime soon… but an international agreement, an early winter storm, and the recent drought might have something to do with this recent spike.
Top 10 Managed Futures Programs of 2013
We’re giving in… Despite our constant advice that provides little insight to identify who the best managers were, people still want to know who the best performers were for the year and monthly periods. Note that we calculate the ‘best’ a little differently, but here they are.
Managed Futures 2014 Outlook
It’s pure folly to pretend we can say with any accuracy where managed futures will end up over the next 12 months, and to be frank we’re not really interested in playing that game. But that doesn’t mean it can’t help analyzing the conditions which caused managed futures as an asset class to perform the way it did in 2013, and discussing whether those conditions will persist in the new year, reverse course, or yield to different conditions.
A Different Kind of History Lesson (the VIX)
It’s a great day to remember one of our nation’s heroes, but for many in the alternative investment space – this three day “market” weekend (stock and bond markets are closed today) brings back memories of a nasty little volatility spike back in 2008. The financial crisis was upon us, and the first big warning shot across the bow was actually on MLK weekend (Jan 20th, 2008).
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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