Welcome to early 2020, where we have a whole year of TBDs and fill-in-the-blanks ahead of us. One of the big unknowns for us in the US is whether the negative interest rate experiment will spread from Asia and Europe onto our shores. We covered what this could mean for alternative investments in our Global […]
Just 22 days left in the decade, and we’re going to use a good portion of those to look back on some of the top performing markets, asset classes, and alternative investment funds over that time. First up, commodities, which would likely rather not be mentioned at all. Talk about a lost decade….2010 through 2019 […]
While it sure doesn’t seem like it given how high most asset classes have risen this year, a full 5 of the 8 asset classes we track were down in November (albeit slightly). The wet season and late harvesting had put a big damper on commodities especially in November, and U.S. Real Estate has taken […]
“…the investor’s chief problem and his worst enemy is likely to be himself.” Benjamin Graham The Johari Window was designed to help people better understand their relationship with themselves and others. Created in the ‘50s by two psychologists, it’s main function is for self-help groups. You pick from a number adjectives and insert them into […]
Last year at this time we were labeling the asset class scoreboard Red October due to dismal returns by nearly every class. So, what should we label it now? Pos-i-tober…..? Mehh, we’ll keep working on the name while Managed Futures needs to get to work on creating some positive returns. Hopefully we finish out the […]
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
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Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.