That Damned V
At the beginning of the month we warned that a big bounce off of the May lows in June was exactly what managed futures was hoping to avoid. Unfortunately, that’s exactly what we’ve seen so far this month. If you’ve ever wondered what a V-shaped rally looks like…
Nat Gas: Return of the Widowmaker?
The natural gas market has been boring in the last few years – just a shadow of its former volatile self. But today, the price spiked out of nowhere. Is this a sign of things to come, or just a brief glimpse of why natural gas was once called the widowmaker?
Mind the Gap
We’ve been cheering the markets to go to zero for a while now, since trend followers are largely in short positions right now. And thus didn’t look to favorably upon the Spanish bailout news over the weekend which saw S&P futures “gap up” as we were going to bed last night. What followed was much more to our liking.
The Atomic Green Rally
When things are up this much in a single day, the quote board starts to take on that atomic green color. Is this the beginning of the snap back rally we’ve been fearing?
The End of Commodity Financialisation? Think Again
As we watch the markets plummet today, we’re not too concerned (the benefit of being in an industry that can profit in a down market). But the pain for some has raised the question of whether commodity financialisation is on its way out. We don’t think so- at least for those doing it the right way.
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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