With Commodity Prices Down, Are CTAs/Trend Followers Getting Crushed?
Word in the Twitter streets is of a commodity blood bath: Remember, CPI is a lagging indicator Commodity $s have plummeted from peaks: Lumber -58%, Nickel -54%, Aluminum -37%, NatGas -31%, Steel -28%, Wheat -28%, Zinc -25%, Lead -23%, Copper -22%, Soybeans -18%, Corn -16%, Cotton -14%, Cocoa -14%, Oil -13%, OJ -11%(Rosenberg Research) — […]
ESG causing Europe’s Energy Issues?
If you haven’t noticed what’s happening in the energy markets of late- oil and natural gas are on a bit of a tear this year, especially over in Europe, where they’ve been a bit more aggressive politically in their embrace and enforcement of ESG protocols and mandates. Even good old-fashioned West Texas Crude Oil isn’t […]
Asset Class Scoreboard: September 2021
Well, that was interesting! The first “real” down month for stocks in about a year saw US stocks drop -4.66% alongside world stocks and real estate. On the other side of the coin, managed futures rode a big move higher in commodities to post a small gain, while those commodities themselves were back at it […]
Don’t Let them Ban IRA Investments in Hedge Funds
The Build Back Better Act has been causing a minor stir in the world of small private funds the past week as several committees completed marking up and approving provisions of the Act. Among these, the House Ways and Means Committee approved a plan limiting Mega-Roth, backdoor IRAs, and large retirement account balances – which […]
What is Return Stacking?
A new paper by Rodrigo Gordillo and Adam Butler of Resolve Asset Management and Corey Hoffstein of Newfound Research is out this week, purporting to add a new term to the investing lexicon – “Return Stacking.” What? What is return stacking, and what are stacked returns? Well, you can download the full paper here […]
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
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