Expected v. Realized Returns in Managed Futures
Our weekly newsletter is up here, analyzing how expectations impact the investing experience and decission making paradigm. Confused? Think about it this way: for those who first set sight on the Mona Lisa or ate at the best restaurant in town and felt underwhelmed, asking yourself what the big deal is; or conversely have been […]
Managed Futures Spotlight: Accela
It’s that time of the month- time for a Managed Futures Spotlight Newsletter. This month’s Managed Futures Spotlight highlights the Accela Capital Management Global Diversified program, a systematic multi-market program we started tracking on our platform in early 2010. Ranked #7 in our most recent semi-annual managed futures rankings, the Accela Capital Global Diversified program has been […]
Newsletter: Is Another Market Crisis Ahead? Yes or No… It Looks Like a Good Time to Diversify
Our weekly newsletter is up at https://bit.ly/dYRLsG . With all the chaos erupting across the world, we thought we’d ask… What have you been thinking as you watch the violence in the Middle East on TV, the protests in US state capitals, and stock markets starting to show some weakness (S&P down -2.52% from its Feb […]
Buyer Beware on Rydex Fund & Wisdom Tree Managed Futures ETF
Our weekly newsletter is up at: https://bit.ly/hvGVwC – asking the question…. Why is $2.39 Billion worth of investors’ capital paying Rydex 2% per year to underperform the managed futures benchmark by a factor of 8 on the return side, or a factor of nearly 3 on the risk side? We promised in a blog post at […]
Newsletter: Why your diversification strategy probably won’t work
Heavyweight Welton Investment Corp. (1/2 a billion under mgmt., 13% comp. ROR, -12% Max DD) was nice enough to let us post their excellent research piece on the error prone current asset allocation method of diversifying, in our newsletter last night. You can read the full piece here: Diversification, Often Discussed, but Frequently Misunderstood – by […]
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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