Yet Another Grain Hours Changeup
The CME has been trading shots with ICE in their increasingly high-stakes competition over the futures market for quite a while. But one of last year’s moves – when ICE’s expanded online trading hours spurred the CME to follow suit – is now set to reverse course.
Why Speculation Isn’t Pushing Gas Prices Higher
RBOB gasoline futures have been on an impressive rally since early December. Of course, this has translated into higher prices at gas stations, and when the price of a commodity has a visible, negative impact on ordinary people, the speculator-bashers start coming out of the woodwork, right on cue. We’ve tackled this in the past, but this time we found someone else with a great takedown.
Long-Only Commodity ETFs vs Futures- February 2013
February is finished, which means we have a new month of data in our regular series examining long-only commodity ETFs, and comparing their performance to the December-dated futures contracts. You’ll notice that this time around, two of the ETFs seem to have the advantage. What’s going on? Well, this is something we’ve run into before, and there are a couple of factors at work.
An Ag Market Reminder on the Benefits of Futures
We’re used to defending the futures industry whenever politicians start scapegoating “greedy speculators.” But even when they’re not the focus of ill-informed attacks, the futures industry is helping to keep markets – agriculture and otherwise – running smoothly.
Italy Goes Greek, Markets Go Haywire
We were having flashbacks to last summer today as Italy’s election results rolled in and markets started going haywire. Is this the start of another round of Euro-crisis risk on/risk off markets? And if so, what might that mean for managed futures?
Disclaimers
Managed futures, commodity trading, forex trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. You should not rely on any of the information as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making such a decision on the appropriateness of such investments.
The entries on this blog are intended to further subscribers understanding, education, and – at times – enjoyment of the world of alternative investments. Unless distinctly noted otherwise, the data and graphs included herein are intended to be mere examples and exhibits of the topic discussed, are for educational and illustrative purposes only, and do not represent trading in actual accounts. Opinions expressed are that of the author.
The mention of specific asset class performance (i.e. +3.2%, -4.6%) is based on the noted source index (i.e. Newedge CTA Index, S&P 500 Index, etc.), and investors should take care to understand that any index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
The performance data for various Commodity Trading Advisor (“CTA”) and Commodity Pools are compiled from various sources, including Barclay Hedge, RCM’s own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor’s disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor’s track record.
The mention of general asset class performance (i.e. managed futures did well, stocks were down, bonds were up) is based on RCM’s direct experience in those asset classes, estimates of performance of dozens of CTAs followed by RCM, and averaging of various indices designed to track said asset classes.
The mention of market based performance (i.e. Corn was up 5% today) reflects all available information as of the time and date of the publication.
The owner of this blog, RCM Alternatives, may receive various forms of compensation from certain investment managers highlighted and/or mentioned within the blog, including but not limited to retaining: a portion of trade commissions, a portion of the fees charged to investors by the investment managers, a portion of the fees for operating a fund for the investment managers via affiliate Attain Portfolio Advisors, or via direct payment for marketing services.
Managed Futures Disclaimer:
Past Performance is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results. The regulations of the CFTC require that prospective clients of a managed futures program (CTA) receive a disclosure document when they are solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the client’s commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be highlighted. The disclosure document contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
See the full terms of use and risk disclaimer here.
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