For the first time in forever, our nation is presented with a problem we wish we had in the past… where do we put all the oil? Think about it, some might argue that wars have been started over how much oil we have. Bloomberg is out with a chart showing Cushing Oklahoma could run out of storage in a just a couple months if projected growth in supplies continues.
Category: Education
06
Mar
2015
18
Feb
2015
The Efficient Frontier Part 2
Contrary to popular belief, The Efficient Frontier isn’t our attempt to write about Star Trek (we can only dream), it’s actually an investment/asset allocation concept put forth by those who believe in Modern Portfolio Theory.
16
Feb
2015
Different Exposure, Different Price
Long Only Commodities as an asset class has been plummeting since around April last year, and the downtrend continues into 2015. The average move of commodity futures in January came out to be -5.02%, compared to ETFs -7.54%, with ETFs underperforming the futures markets they supposedly track by 2.52% {Past performance is not necessarily indicative […]
13
Feb
2015
What You Don’t Know Can’t Hurt You?
We’ve been through this before. People suggesting that while the traditional 60/40 portfolio surely isn’t the best portfolio, an average investor probably won’t know the difference between it and a better one – in advance – so why try. Here are our thoughts.
04
Feb
2015
7 Technical Indicators to tell when the Crude Sell Off is Done
Which leaves us with the question, how can you tell when these articles are just stirring the crude oil pot, and when is the market actually coming out of its months long downturn? How do professional trend followers tell when a trend is over? Or about to be over?
29
Jan
2015
Fibonacci Numbers & Fibonacci Retracements
Here’s the Fibonacci Retracement numbers in the Hong Kong Hang Seng (say that five times fast), but he’s also got them in the Belgium stock market, and Copper Futures, to name a few:
26
Jan
2015
Crude Oil Wrapped Bacon (and Beef)
The first month of 2015 has been anything but dull in the futures markets. Many point to Crude’s Unbelievable sell off, or the Swiss Franc shooting up around 25% against the U.S. Dollar, but what we’re noticing down here on the front lines of commodity trading is the meat markets big run up might finally be coming to an end.
20
Jan
2015
5 Reasons This Crude Move is Unbelievable
t’s been one amazing sell off in Crude Oil; so amazing we can’t stop writing about it. We’ve covered the long term picture of Crude, The Best Tweets from Crude’s Drop, How to Play a Bounce , and everyone else’s articles on crude. But we can’t stop staring at it… We’re the commodity focused moth to the proverbial flame.
But why is this sell off so amazing? What’s special about it?
02
Dec
2014
11 things you should know about the Crude Oil Drop
Christmas came a month early for those short Crude Oil over the past couple of months, specifically last week, and even more specifically – Friday. Since July, WTI crude has dropped more than 30%, with 10% of that coming the day after Thanksgiving. And just about everyone and their mom (mom’s who have a blog about commodities?) have written something about the Crude Oil move. Here are the ideas we found most valuable to share.
11
Nov
2014
How Endowed is your Endowment?
Vanguard has an interesting whitepaper out about how Endowments performance differs based on their size (sorry all those in the, “it’s not the size of the boat, it’s the motion of the ocean” camp… the large ones do much better), and there’s some interesting tidbits in it even though it’s a glorified ad for the type of low cost indexing Vanguard is known for. But instead of their normal tilt toward the retail investor, they’re targeting the endowment space – breaking down small, medium, and large endowments vs low cost index funds and concluding that small and mid size endowments shouldn’t try and replicate large endowments success – they should just do low cost index funds (otherwise known as talking your book).
First, some of their cool charts:
