The clichés you’ll hear a lot this week and come Christmas time goes something like this… the slow holiday trading, a low volume week due to the holiday, or below average market participation due to the holiday. And while it has become part of the common market knowledge that volume and trading ranges are subdued during holiday periods because of traders being out of the office (off the trading floor/not logged in to the machines), we’ve always wondered if that is true – we certainly don’t pack up our offices and take this entire week off.
To see whether a ‘slow holiday week’ is more than just a saying, we looked at the true range of the S&P 500 during Thanksgiving week over the past 11 years, and compared that to the true range of all the other weeks of the year. Our results are below, and show that despite a rather non slow holiday week in 2008 during the financial crisis – this pattern indeed has held true every other year for the past 11, with the true range for the holiday week about 30% lower than a normal week on average.
Of course, as is the case with nearly all market happenings, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. That being said, it seems there is some truth to that old trading adage – slow holiday week.
The performance data displayed herein is compiled from various sources, including BarclayHedge, RCM's own estimates of performance based on account managed by advisors on its books, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor's disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor's track record.
Benchmark index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
Managed futures accounts can subject to substantial charges for management and advisory fees. The numbers within this website include all such fees, but it may be necessary for those accounts that are subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits in the future to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets.
Investors interested in investing with a managed futures program (excepting those programs which are offered exclusively to qualified eligible persons as that term is defined by CFTC regulation 4.7) will be required to receive and sign off on a disclosure document in compliance with certain CFT rules The disclosure documents contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA, as well as the composite performance of accounts under the CTA's management over at least the most recent five years. Investor interested in investing in any of the programs on this website are urged to carefully read these disclosure documents, including, but not limited to the performance information, before investing in any such programs.
Those investors who are qualified eligible persons as that term is defined by CFTC regulation 4.7 and interested in investing in a program exempt from having to provide a disclosure document and considered by the regulations to be sophisticated enough to understand the risks and be able to interpret the accuracy and completeness of any performance information on their own.
RCM receives a portion of the commodity brokerage commissions you pay in connection with your futures trading and/or a portion of the interest income (if any) earned on an account's assets. The listed manager may also pay RCM a portion of the fees they receive from accounts introduced to them by RCM.