Our newsletter for the week is up, and it’s obvious that we have one thing on the brain: Thanksgiving dinner. That’s right- with Thanksgiving coming up this Thursday (where has the time gone this year?), many of us are finding our dreams peppered with the smells of creamy mashed potatoes, green bean casseroles, pumpkin pie, and, of course, a golden-brown turkey cooked to perfection. But this time of year doesn’t just bring up thoughts of delicious feasts, being the managed futures nerds that we are; this time of year also makes us think of Nassim Taleb’s wonderful turkey analogy from his book The Black Swan.
Taleb points out that, for the unsuspecting Thanksgiving turkey, life seems good. They’re well-fed and kept for days on end. They’re living the life. Each day of feeding boosts their confidence in being fed tomorrow. The problem, of course, is that all that fattening and making the turkey happy are a means to an end – the end being THE END for the turkey.
What in the world does this have to do with managed futures? Well, this turkey believes they have it pretty good, right up until the days before Thanksgiving, when they are slaughtered in order to be served up at the feast. To us, this complacency with positive results is strikingly similar to investors who live a pretty good life right up until they are served up unexpectedly to a market correction- particularly those invested in option selling programs. To find out how we advise averting meeting an end similar to that of the turkey with your option selling investments, read on.
Click here to read the full piece.
The performance data displayed herein is compiled from various sources, including BarclayHedge, and reports directly from the advisors. These performance figures should not be relied on independent of the individual advisor's disclosure document, which has important information regarding the method of calculation used, whether or not the performance includes proprietary results, and other important footnotes on the advisor's track record.
Benchmark index performance is for the constituents of that index only, and does not represent the entire universe of possible investments within that asset class. And further, that there can be limitations and biases to indices such as survivorship, self reporting, and instant history.
Managed futures accounts can subject to substantial charges for management and advisory fees. The numbers within this website include all such fees, but it may be necessary for those accounts that are subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits in the future to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets.
Investors interested in investing with a managed futures program (excepting those programs which are offered exclusively to qualified eligible persons as that term is defined by CFTC regulation 4.7) will be required to receive and sign off on a disclosure document in compliance with certain CFT rules The disclosure documents contains a complete description of the principal risk factors and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA, as well as the composite performance of accounts under the CTA's management over at least the most recent five years. Investor interested in investing in any of the programs on this website are urged to carefully read these disclosure documents, including, but not limited to the performance information, before investing in any such programs.
Those investors who are qualified eligible persons as that term is defined by CFTC regulation 4.7 and interested in investing in a program exempt from having to provide a disclosure document and considered by the regulations to be sophisticated enough to understand the risks and be able to interpret the accuracy and completeness of any performance information on their own.
RCM receives a portion of the commodity brokerage commissions you pay in connection with your futures trading and/or a portion of the interest income (if any) earned on an account's assets. The listed manager may also pay RCM a portion of the fees they receive from accounts introduced to them by RCM.