Risk On! March continued the one-month-on, one-month off pattern seen so far in this young year, with nearly stocks and bonds bouncing back from Feb losses with March gains. The big story was managed futures with a big down month driven by the sharp rise in bond prices (lower rates) in March around the Silicon […]
Category: Market Commentary
04
Apr
2023
14
Mar
2023
OUCH! A massive Bond Reversal hits Trend
So anyone watching CNBC or picking up the WSJ has heard of Silicon Valley Bank by now. The failed startup bank which caused the Fed to step in and sort of guarantee deposits across all regional banks. But while all that real world, actual customers and their bank deposits stuff were going on – here […]
14
Mar
2023
Mutual Fund performance: February
February gave back some of the optimism in January. The markets continued to pay attention to point/counter-point of economic data and the Fed as if it was a lame televised political debate. The sentiment indicates more rate hikes are coming. Stocks and bonds were down most of the month (VOL up mildly). Predictably, the dollar […]
07
Mar
2023
Asset Class Scoreboard: February 2023
Most assets took a tumble in February, as the everything rally from January to start off the year took a bit of a breather – as stocks and bonds resumed their 2022 look with both seeing losses at the same time. Elsewhere, U.S. Real estate took the biggest fall, although most have remained out of […]
05
Jan
2023
Mutual Fund Performance: December 2022
The weather outside was frightful for some of the US markets in December. As risks of recession loomed, equities and bond prices fell in tandem (again). Volatility increased modestly providing a meager meal long volatility strategies. A milder European winter (so far) helped energy prices mostly decline through the month, especially natural gas. The USD […]
04
Jan
2023
Asset Class Scoreboard: December 2022
Commodities for the Win! There it was. The final buzzer of the game as 2022 comes to an end. But it was a bit of a bore of a game overall, with the scoreboard at the end of the year looking a lot like it did throughout the year, with Commodities and Managed Futures leading […]
02
Dec
2022
Asset Class Scoreboard: November 2022
Whoa. The international equity markets have finally shown up to the party, taking a giant leap in November for its biggest gain in quite some time. The rest of the scoreboard looked pretty similar, with stock, bonds, real estate, and hedge funds all positive (while all remaining down handily for the year..). Which brings us […]
07
Nov
2022
Asset Class Scoreboard: October 2022
U.S. Stocks gave a comeback last month after being down its’ previous two months rising to the top of the list. While in September we saw nearly all assets in the red, October bounced back for most assets while equities continue to fall. Although we didn’t see a dramatic climb for Managed futures, it’s still […]
12
Apr
2022
Managed Futures is Rocking… What Happens Next?
There are some eye-popping March returns for managed futures programs hitting our inboxes this month, whether Auspice’s +8%, EMC’s +9%, or Quest’s +13% (you can learn more about each of those managers in our recently published trend following whitepaper here.) This broad success across many managed futures and trend following programs has pushed SocGen’s CTA Index […]
06
Apr
2022
MF Mutual Fund Performance – March
Beware the ides of March. This past month showed madness in more than one way. Markets began to internalize the ramifications of the ongoing tragedy in Ukraine amidst the backdrop of inflation in the west. Despite much uncertainty, market volatility generally declined for the later 2/3rd of the month. Equity prices rallied hard. Commodities, which […]
