Category: Chart of the Week

01 May 2014

All That Ag: Price Distortion, Live Cattle, and Surreal Soybeans

18% in a couple months might just convince any performance chaser to reallocate funds that way, and according to M6 Capital in their recent newsletter, that’s just what many investors did, with a heavy inflow into the Ag Markets. But will performance chasers be rewarded? M6 says people seeking to make money when commodity prices are rising might want to think again, suggesting that some of the “food” Commodities are overweighted due to the massive inflow of funds in the Ag markets this year.

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03 Apr 2014

Chart of the Week: The Incredibly Boring Crude Oil Market

Crude Oil has become…dare we say… boring. Just take a look a the incredible shrinking range of Crude over the past 3.5 years to see what we mean. Crude had over a $100 point range in 2008, a $60 range in 2009, and about $40 in 2011. But since then it’s been smaller and smaller daily, weekly, and annual ranges for the poster child of commodities. Just look at last year, where despite tensions tension’s in the Middle East last summer and train holding thousands of gallons of oil derailing, the volatility in crude oil decreased by -18%. But here’s the thing…

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13 Mar 2014

Chart of the Week: YTD Asset Class Scoreboard

Here’s our usual monthly look at the scoreboard, after the February numbers for everything we track are finally in. That’s a rarely seen octuple, with all 8 asset classes posting positive performance in February, and all but managed futures positive on the year. C’mon managed futures … get in the game!

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20 Feb 2014

Chart of the Week: Battle of the Juggernaut Exchanges, WTI vs. Brent

The futures industry is always striving for change, pushing for innovation, growth, and stability. Over the past year and a half, this concept has taken form in the competition between the CME and ICE over which holds more incentive for traders. One of the specifics has come down to liquidity in the markets, specifically, Crude Oil. Part of this is driven by the market itself, and here is an updated comparison.

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06 Feb 2014

Chart of the Week: Coffee Cuing Up an Up Trend?

Move over Natural Gas… the latest commodity that is perking up (pun intended) is everyone’s favorite morning nectar, Coffee.  The $7 Billion dollar market is up almost 30% YTD, and was up 8 consecutive days before some profit taking today {past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results}. (Disclaimer: Past performance is not necessarily […]

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30 Jan 2014

Chart of the Week: Sugar’s Textbook Downtrend

Since October Sugar is down 24% with 50 out of the past 70 days down, and now at its lowest point since 2010 (although up a little today). With the large three sugar producers expected to outpace demand by 4.7 metric tons, more traders and CTA’s are short than they are long.. What other factors could be at play?

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23 Jan 2014

Chart of the Week: All Time Highs for Cattle Futures

We fancy ourselves as steak experts here in Chicago, but with both Feeder and Live Cattle futures at all time highs this week should we be concerned that the price of their favorite meat is about to go through the roof? No anytime soon… but an international agreement, an early winter storm, and the recent drought might have something to do with this recent spike.

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