What do you get for 4 straight months of positive performance and an annualized rate of return of nearly 15%. Nearly run out of town, it turns out, with the hedge funds are under performing drums getting louder and louder of late as traditional stock and real estate investments soar (50% annualized returns). Case in […]
Category: Education
Don’t throw out Managed Futures with the Risk Premia bathwater
We half-jokingly asked in our Managed Futures/Global Macro 2019 Outlook, “Is this asset class working for you?” following a year in which managed futures didn’t deliver the crisis period performance they’ve become known for. But a recent piece in the hedge fund journal shows it wasn’t just trend following type CTAs that under performed in […]
The return of the AG
We’ve talked recently about African Swine Flu sending the Hog market for a ride, and that’s just the sort of thing we imagined in our 2019 Outlook whitepaper when we talked about the “return of Ag.” There’s been four straight years of volatility contraction for the Ag markets, and there’s a real threat that the […]
3.5 million derivatives trades per hour
We like to highlight the Futures Industry Association (FIA) annual volume study every year, and were excited to see that global derivatives trading volume hit an all-time record in 2018. There were 30.3 Billion (with a B) global futures and options traded in 2018. That’s about 83 million trades per day, 3.5 million per hour, […]
A Hogdiculous Move
Tom’s been telling anybody who would listen about Chinese hog farmers being hit with one of the worst outbreaks of African Swine Fever (ASF) in the country’s history, and after Hog futures finally caught up to the story – rising over 50% in March as pointed out by TT’s Patrick Rooney – it’s time we […]
Q1 Asset Class Scoreboard
Bounce. Bounce. 2019 continued to be the year of the bounce – with everyone now in on the act once managed futures finally decided to get in the game with its largest gains since January of 2018. Add it all up and you have everyone solidly in the black in what has become quite the […]
Hailing a ride on the Uber IPO? View this first.
We first updated our infographic when LYFT went public on March 29th. It’s down 40%+ since then. But what do you get when you add 1 part $Lyft, 3 parts $Uber, a dash of Pinterest, and pinch of Slack? The return of a potential IPO frenzy, where everyday investors can get involved with some of […]
Semi-Annual Managed Futures Rankings (Updated March 2019)
Now that the 1st two rounds of March Madness are out of the way, we’re ready to share our Semi-Annual Managed Futures Rankings. We’ve been analyzing and testing a rankings system that would best reflect what we believe to be the important metrics for measuring skill in this investment space for the better part of […]
Here’s how 33 markets performed since the 2009 low
For long-time CNBC watchers, you no doubt remember the now deceased Mark Haynes saying 10 years ago, on the morning of March 10th 2009, that it felt like a bottom and that he thought this rally had legs. It didn’t hurt that the S&P 500 put in a devilish low of 666 the day before. […]
Asset Class Scoreboard: February 2019
We’re trying not to be too optimistic here, but we’re feeling pretty good about how Feb ended up. The dead cat bounce that was January has turned into the mirror image of 2018 – with all asset classes now sitting positive on the year after all finished in the red in 2018. Compared to the […]