Category: Macro Commentary

28 Jan 2013

PFGBest Update: Plot Clichés Abound

The PFG Best story is full of so many twists and turns, we’ve wondered in the past how long it will be before the Hollywood treatment comes out (and whether a share of those profits would go to help make former customers whole). But as each new detail of the sordid affair has come to light, we’re starting to wonder if this tale might already be too unbelievable – or cliché – for even the big screen.

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24 Jan 2013

Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple…

It’s impossible to turn on CNBC or look at Twitter lately without getting Apple news smashed in your face. It’s no surprise that the world’s biggest company gets so much attention – and the numbers they can post in the midst of a decline are still enough to boggle the mind.

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24 Jan 2013

When Washington Squabbles Rule the Markets

Investor sentiment rules the markets, but what rules investor sentiment? According to a recent poll, it’s the dysfunction in Washington. With political squabbles weighing more heavily on investors’ minds than the rest of the economy as a whole, we think it should serve as a clear warning sign.

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23 Jan 2013

How to Win Enemies and Influence Markets

High-Frequency Traders are making enemies almost as fast as they make cancelled orders. Now that they’ve moved into the Forex markets, another front in the controversy has opened up. But if recent events are any indication, this fight may not end well for anyone involved.

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22 Jan 2013

EU Readying Finance Tax

The 2008 financial crisis brought quite a few ideas from the margins of financial thought into the limelight. Now, one of these ideas looks poised to enter into force in the EU: a financial transactions tax. Similar proposals have appeared in the US, but now it looks like some EU members are going to give us a live experiment of the idea.

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17 Jan 2013

Closing MFGlobal Loopholes?

After MFGlobal collapsed, there was a great deal of commentary on the accounting tricks that had been used to conceal the financial health of the company – moving the debt associated with the repo-to-maturity trades on European debt off of the balance sheets and out of the public eye. At the time, changing the accounting rules seemed like a long-shot, but that may be changing.

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14 Jan 2013

Good Reason to Be Nervous?

There’s a lot of economic data floating around right now, providing mixed signals on growth or prolonged stagnation, but the story that matters to us right now is the debt ceiling. The U.S. is set to hit the debt ceiling mid-February, and as it stands, there are enough factors combining to make us very anxious about what that means for the market.

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14 Jan 2013

A Case Study in the Structural Risks of Hedge Fund Investing

Managed futures and the world of hedge funds have a love hate relationship. On one hand, lumping managed futures in with hedge funds can make it easier for investors to understand the general idea behind a managed futures investment. But there are some pretty major distinctions between hedge funds and managed futures investments that can give managed futures a bad rap.

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