Category: Markets

19 Jun 2012

That Damned V

At the beginning of the month we warned that a big bounce off of the May lows in June was exactly what managed futures was hoping to avoid. Unfortunately, that’s exactly what we’ve seen so far this month. If you’ve ever wondered what a V-shaped rally looks like…

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14 Jun 2012

Nat Gas: Return of the Widowmaker?

The natural gas market has been boring in the last few years – just a shadow of its former volatile self. But today, the price spiked out of nowhere. Is this a sign of things to come, or just a brief glimpse of why natural gas was once called the widowmaker?

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11 Jun 2012

Mind the Gap

We’ve been cheering the markets to go to zero for a while now, since trend followers are largely in short positions right now. And thus didn’t look to favorably upon the Spanish bailout news over the weekend which saw S&P futures “gap up” as we were going to bed last night. What followed was much more to our liking.

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06 Jun 2012

The Atomic Green Rally

When things are up this much in a single day, the quote board starts to take on that atomic green color. Is this the beginning of the snap back rally we’ve been fearing?

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01 Jun 2012

The End of Commodity Financialisation? Think Again

As we watch the markets plummet today, we’re not too concerned (the benefit of being in an industry that can profit in a down market). But the pain for some has raised the question of whether commodity financialisation is on its way out. We don’t think so- at least for those doing it the right way.

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01 Jun 2012

Long-only Commodity ETFs vs. Futures- May 2012

Time for our monthly look at how the long only commodity ETFs are performing versus simply holding the December futures contract and rolling annually. This month was brutal for most of the commodities markets, but which loser lost the least? futures contracts or ETFs?

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24 May 2012

Corn Volatility Explodes

Grain prices often react strongly to macro events like crop and weather reports. What happens when you combine the two? The highest volatility of 2012.

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21 May 2012

Facebook Fever?

It’s day two of Facebook fever – and the stock has already seen its first big drop. It is still early, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t lessons to learn from this ordeal.

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