Category: Markets

24 Aug 2017
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The White Moose

But what if the Black Swan we all knew was coming wasn’t China, or QE, or flash crashes, or Trump, or any of the rest of it? What if the Black Swan we were/have been all worried about was the absence of a black swan, creating a black swan itself?

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11 Aug 2017

Volatility…Is That You?

And just like that… the calm seas turned a little choppy. With today’s ~+40% jump in the VIX, volatility is back on everyone’s mind. It only took the threat of nuclear war to get investors finally willing to think stocks won’t always advance upwards percent by percent week after week. But this has to have […]

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07 Aug 2017
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Long-Term Commodity Investment Strategy

When you think of commodity market performance, what’s one of the first things you think of? Positive or negative performance? For anyone who has invested over the past 10 years, the answer has been mostly negative… and even when it hasn’t been, commodity markets cyclical moves up and down tends to be at odds with the […]

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03 Aug 2017

Rethinking Volatility and Managed Futures

We ran the data for the first six months of 2017,  and a whopping 89% of the markets experienced consolidation over the first six months of 2017, leaving only five markets that expanded. The average volatility movement in the markets was -17% percent. Here’s a look at each of the market’s contraction and expansion.

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01 Aug 2017
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Euphoria

It doesn’t seem like an investor can make a wrong decision about broad based stock indices, with World Stocks up near 20% YTD, U.S. Stocks at +12% YTD

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